Feige’s conjecture for sums with unbounded variance - 2

04  22, 2008

I’d like to spell out a conjecture of Feige (which is pretty elegant and simple to state) if for no better reason so that I don’t forget it:

Let X_1,\dots,X_n be independent random non-negative variables with \E [X_i]=1 (and arbitrary variance). Then \Pr[\sum X_i < n + 1] \ge 1/e.

The conjecture is a little more general than that, but I’ve purified it for simplicity and, in fact, the above statement is the crux of the conjecture. Feige already proved the conjecture when 1/e is replaced by 1/13 using a, well, horrendous case analysis. So the goal here is really to get the constant 1/e and hopefully with a more natural argument.

This conjecture appears in On the sum of nonnegative independent random variables with unbounded variance, Feige’03. I believe that solving implies a better approximation constant for a certain sub-modular optimization problem.

2 Comments ↓

#alex  at 2:15 am on April 25th, 2008

Do the random variables have to be nonnegative? Its in the title of the paper, and the conjecture doesn’t sound true without it.

#petar  at 8:12 am on April 25th, 2008

Yes, correct, they have to be nonnegative. It may be useful to say that Feige also showed that you can assume wlog that all random variables have support size 2. He further conjeectures that essentially the worst-case setting is when all X_i are identically distributed as \Pr[X_i=n+1]=(n+1)^{-1} and \Pr[X_i=0]=1-(n+1)^{-1}.

Desire to speak? ↓